Reds at Mets
Last play · Francisco Lindor flies out to second baseman Matt McLain.
Win probability
Mets0%
CIN 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 2 NYM
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Mets favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt McLain homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 5) — -31% Reds
9Luis Torrens singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Ronny Mauricio scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd. Brett Baty to 2nd.8–4
9Ronny Mauricio reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Connor Joe. Brandon Nimmo scores.8–3
8Austin Hays walks. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.8–2
7Elly De La Cruz singles on a fly ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Matt McLain scores.7–2
6Tyler Stephenson homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Spencer Steer scores.6–2
6Austin Hays homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.4–2
5Matt McLain homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. TJ Friedl scores.3–2
4Austin Hays homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








