Orioles at Rays
Last play · Cedric Mullins lines out to center fielder Jake Mangum.
Win probability
Rays100%
BAL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 5 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Junior Caminero homers (24) on a line drive to left center field. Chandler Simpson scores. Yandy Díaz scores. (inning 1) — +24% Rays
9Ramón Laureano grounds out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Gunnar Henderson scores.1–11
6Junior Caminero homers (25) on a fly ball to right field.0–11
6Yandy Díaz hits a grand slam (15) to right center field. Danny Jansen scores. Chandler Simpson scores. Brandon Lowe scores.0–10
6Ha-Seong Kim flies out to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Jake Mangum scores. Throwing error by right fielder Ramón Laureano.0–6
3Josh Lowe doubles (12) on a fly ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. Yandy Díaz scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.0–5
2Danny Jansen homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
1Junior Caminero homers (24) on a line drive to left center field. Chandler Simpson scores. Yandy Díaz scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








