Royals at Marlins
Last play · Kyle Stowers homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Javier Sanoja scores.
Win probability
Marlins100%
KC 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 5 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Marlins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adam Frazier doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Jonathan India scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. (inning 10) — -44% Royals
10Kyle Stowers homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Javier Sanoja scores.7–8
10Agustín Ramírez singles on a line drive to left fielder John Rave. Derek Hill scores.7–6
10Adam Frazier doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Jonathan India scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.7–5
9John Rave homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.5–5
4John Rave homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Salvador Perez scores. Nick Loftin scores.4–5
4Nick Loftin singles on a ground ball to third baseman Graham Pauley. Maikel Garcia scores. Salvador Perez to 2nd.1–5
3Kyle Stowers singles on a fly ball to left fielder John Rave. Otto Lopez scores.0–5
3Otto Lopez doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Xavier Edwards scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








