Red Sox at Cubs
Last play · Abraham Toro flies out sharply to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
Win probability
Cubs100%
BOS 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Cubs favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (26) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Busch scores. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 1) — +24% Cubs
6Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ian Happ scores. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.1–4
3Roman Anthony doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jarren Duran scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.1–3
1Seiya Suzuki homers (26) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Busch scores. Kyle Tucker scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








