Astros at Mariners
Last play · Taylor Trammell grounds out, first baseman Donovan Solano to pitcher Eduard Bazardo.
Win probability
Mariners100%
HOU 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 1 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — +13% Mariners
8Mitch Garver strikes out swinging.1–6
8Donovan Solano out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jose Altuve. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Randy Arozarena to 2nd.1–5
8Cal Raleigh singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.1–4
8J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Jose Altuve. Cole Young scores.1–3
8Isaac Paredes doubles (15) on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Brice Matthews scores.1–2
7Mitch Garver homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
4Randy Arozarena homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








