Orioles at Rays
Last play · Jackson Holliday flies out sharply to center fielder Chandler Simpson.
Win probability
Rays100%
BAL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 0 TB
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Chandler Simpson scores. José Caballero scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd. Throwing error by first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. (inning 8) — +34% Rays
9Cedric Mullins singles on a pop up to second baseman José Caballero. Tyler O'Neill scores.3–4
8Jonathan Aranda reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Chandler Simpson scores. José Caballero scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd. Throwing error by first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.2–4
8Chandler Simpson singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Ha-Seong Kim scores.2–2
7Josh Lowe grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Yandy Díaz scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.2–1
1Ryan O'Hearn singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Jordan Westburg scores.2–0
1Gunnar Henderson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake Mangum. Jackson Holliday scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








