Royals at Marlins
Last play · Maikel Garcia grounds out, third baseman Graham Pauley to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
Marlins100%
KC 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 1 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Marlins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Lopez doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nick Loftin. Graham Pauley scores. Xavier Edwards scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd. (inning 8) — +34% Marlins
8Otto Lopez doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nick Loftin. Graham Pauley scores. Xavier Edwards scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd.1–3
8Salvador Perez homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Otto Lopez grounds out, third baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Xavier Edwards scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








