Padres at Nationals
Last play · Jake Cronenworth called out on strikes.
Win probability
Nationals100%
SD 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 2 – 3 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Nationals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drew Millas singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Brady House scores. Daylen Lile scores. (inning 2) — +20% Nationals
6Nathaniel Lowe homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.2–4
5CJ Abrams grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Luis Arraez. Daylen Lile scores. Jacob Young to 2nd.2–3
3Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Martín Maldonado scores.2–2
3Martín Maldonado doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood, deflected by center fielder Jacob Young. Jose Iglesias scores.1–2
2Drew Millas singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Brady House scores. Daylen Lile scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








