Astros at Mariners
Last play · Cole Young singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Dominic Canzone scores.
Win probability
Mariners100%
HOU 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 4 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Astros challenged (hit by pitch), call on the field was upheld: Dylan Moore grounds out softly, pitcher Josh Hader to first baseman Christian Walker. Cal Raleigh scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. (inning 10) — +42% Mariners
11Cole Young singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Dominic Canzone scores.6–7
10Astros challenged (hit by pitch), call on the field was upheld: Dylan Moore grounds out softly, pitcher Josh Hader to first baseman Christian Walker. Cal Raleigh scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.6–6
10Taylor Trammell out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Chas McCormick scores.6–5
8Miles Mastrobuoni strikes out swinging.5–5
6Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Jose Altuve scores. Victor Caratini to 3rd.5–4
6Victor Caratini singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Zack Short scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.4–4
6Jose Altuve singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena, deflected by third baseman Ben Williamson. Brice Matthews scores. Zack Short to 3rd.3–4
5Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Jose Altuve scores.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








