Yankees at Braves
Last play · Marcell Ozuna grounds out, third baseman Oswald Peraza to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Braves0%
NYY 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 0 ATL
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Braves favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (36) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 1) — -12% Yankees
9Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.4–2
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (11) on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Aaron Judge scores.4–1
6Matt Olson homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
6Jorbit Vivas hit by pitch. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Ben Rice to 3rd. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.3–0
1Paul Goldschmidt singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd.2–0
1Aaron Judge homers (36) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








