Twins at Rockies
Last play · Willi Castro flies out to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar.
Win probability
Rockies100%
MIN 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 3 – 6 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-250 / +200
Rockies favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ezequiel Tovar homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Mickey Moniak scores. Hunter Goodman scores. (inning 5) — +33% Rockies
9Harrison Bader doubles (11) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Brooks Lee scores.6–10
8Hunter Goodman homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. Mickey Moniak scores.5–10
8Kody Clemens doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Harrison Bader scores. Willi Castro scores. Trevor Larnach to 3rd.5–8
6Hunter Goodman grounds out, second baseman Willi Castro to first baseman Kody Clemens. Tyler Freeman scores. Mickey Moniak to 2nd.3–8
6Tyler Freeman doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Harrison Bader. Brenton Doyle scores.3–7
5Ezequiel Tovar homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Mickey Moniak scores. Hunter Goodman scores.3–6
3Ryan McMahon homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Jordan Beck scores.3–3
2Ryan Ritter doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Harrison Bader. Ezequiel Tovar scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








