Padres at Nationals
Last play · Jacob Young grounds out, pitcher Alek Jacob to first baseman Luis Arraez.
Win probability
Nationals0%
SD 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 8 – 1 WSH
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Nationals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado scores. (inning 1) — -38% Padres
5Riley Adams homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.8–1
3Elias Díaz homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Cronenworth scores.8–0
2Gavin Sheets singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young, deflected by shortstop CJ Abrams. Manny Machado scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.6–0
1Jake Cronenworth doubles (12) on a ground ball to left fielder Daylen Lile. Jose Iglesias scores.5–0
1Xander Bogaerts hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








