Orioles at Rays
Last play · Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
BAL 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 4 – 2 TB
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 6) — -17% Orioles
9Taylor Walls singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Danny Jansen scores.5–3
6Ryan O'Hearn homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.5–2
4Danny Jansen homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
3Junior Caminero singles on a ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. Yandy Díaz scores.4–1
3Gunnar Henderson doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Mangum. Jackson Holliday scores. Jordan Westburg scores.4–0
3Alex Jackson homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Jackson Holliday homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








