Red Sox at Cubs
Last play · Justin Turner lines out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
Win probability
Cubs0%
BOS 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 1 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Cubs favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Trevor Story scores. (inning 7) — -41% Red Sox
8Wilyer Abreu homers (20) on a fly ball to right field.6–1
8Alex Bregman homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Roman Anthony scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.5–1
7Wilyer Abreu homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Trevor Story scores.2–1
2Ian Happ singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Dansby Swanson scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








