Twins at Rockies
Last play · Ryan McMahon grounds out, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Rockies0%
MIN 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 4 – 1 COL
Twins led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-250 / +200
Rockies favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Wallner homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Ty France scores. (inning 3) — -21% Twins
9Willi Castro triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Willi Castro scores. Throwing error by shortstop Orlando Arcia.7–1
8Royce Lewis homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
6Harrison Bader homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
4Royce Lewis homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
3Mickey Moniak homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
3Matt Wallner homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Ty France scores.3–0
3Kody Clemens triples (3) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Yanquiel Fernández. Willi Castro scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








