Giants at Braves
Last play · Mike Yastrzemski pops out to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
SF 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 3 – 8 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Braves favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drake Baldwin doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. (inning 1) — +31% Braves
9Matt Chapman doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Willy Adames scores.5–9
7Willy Adames homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.4–9
6Drake Baldwin doubles (8) on a fly ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos, deflected by center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.3–9
5Willy Adames doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Rafael Devers scores.3–8
4Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Drake Baldwin scores.2–8
4Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Matt Olson scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Drake Baldwin to 2nd.2–7
2Patrick Bailey out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Wilmer Flores scores.2–5
1Nick Allen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Drake Baldwin scores. Ozzie Albies scores. Sean Murphy to 2nd.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








