Astros at Mariners
Last play · Randy Arozarena flies out sharply to left fielder Taylor Trammell.
Win probability
Mariners0%
HOU 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 3 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cam Smith doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Cooper Hummel scores. Shay Whitcomb scores. (inning 5) — -25% Astros
8Victor Caratini doubles (10) on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez, deflected by left fielder Randy Arozarena. Chas McCormick scores. Jose Altuve scores.11–3
7Taylor Trammell doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Victor Caratini scores. Christian Walker scores.9–3
7Yainer Diaz out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Jose Altuve scores.7–3
7Victor Caratini singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Shay Whitcomb scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd.6–3
6Taylor Trammell homers (2) on a line drive to right center field.5–3
6Christian Walker homers (13) on a line drive to left field.4–3
5Cam Smith doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Cooper Hummel scores. Shay Whitcomb scores.3–3
5Shay Whitcomb reaches on a fielding error by shortstop J.P. Crawford. Taylor Trammell scores. Cooper Hummel to 2nd.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








