Reds at Nationals
Last play · Noelvi Marte pops out to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe in foul territory.
Win probability
Nationals100%
CIN 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 6 – 8 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Nationals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daylen Lile triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. James Wood scores. Josh Bell scores. Nathaniel Lowe scores. (inning 1) — +15% Nationals
9Noelvi Marte pops out to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe in foul territory.8–10
9Gavin Lux singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.7–10
6Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Amed Rosario scores. Riley Adams to 3rd.6–10
6Amed Rosario doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Brady House scores.6–9
5Noelvi Marte singles on a fly ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer to 2nd.6–8
4Brady House out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Hays. James Wood scores.5–8
4Jose Trevino grounds into a double play, second baseman Amed Rosario to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Noelvi Marte scores. Jake Fraley out at 2nd. Jose Trevino out at 1st.5–7
4Jake Fraley singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Spencer Steer scores. Noelvi Marte to 3rd.4–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








