Red Sox at Phillies
Last play · Edmundo Sosa reaches on catcher interference by Carlos Narváez. Brandon Marsh scores. Otto Kemp to 3rd. Max Kepler to 2nd. Edmundo Sosa to 1st.
Win probability
Phillies100%
BOS 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
Phillies favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Kemp walks. (inning 10) — +18% Phillies
10Edmundo Sosa reaches on catcher interference by Carlos Narváez. Brandon Marsh scores. Otto Kemp to 3rd. Max Kepler to 2nd. Edmundo Sosa to 1st.2–3
6Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Alex Bregman scores. Roman Anthony to 3rd.2–2
4J.T. Realmuto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Nick Castellanos scores.1–2
4Nick Castellanos singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Bryce Harper scores.1–1
1Jarren Duran homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








