Tigers at Pirates
Last play · Matt Vierling called out on strikes.
Win probability
Pirates100%
DET 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Pirates favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds singles on a line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Spencer Horwitz scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd. (inning 2) — +16% Pirates
2Bryan Reynolds singles on a line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Spencer Horwitz scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.0–3
2Spencer Horwitz singles on a fly ball to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








