Orioles at Guardians
Last play · Jackson Holliday lines out to right fielder Nolan Jones.
Win probability
Guardians100%
BAL 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Guardians favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Laureano homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — -14% Orioles
7Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Yennier Cano to first baseman Coby Mayo. Nolan Jones scores. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.3–6
7Jackson Holliday singles on a ground ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Coby Mayo scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.3–5
6Angel Martínez singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Brayan Rocchio scores. Bo Naylor to 2nd.2–5
6Brayan Rocchio singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Daniel Schneemann scores.2–4
6Ramón Laureano homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
5Kyle Manzardo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Bo Naylor scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd.1–3
5Jacob Stallings grounds into a double play, pitcher Joey Cantillo to second baseman Daniel Schneemann to shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Carlos Santana. Ramón Urías scores. Colton Cowser to 3rd. Coby Mayo out at 2nd. Jacob Stallings out at 1st.1–2
3Kyle Manzardo singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Angel Martínez scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








