Astros at D-backs
Last play · Josh Naylor flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
Win probability
D-backs0%
HOU 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 3 AZ
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / +100
D-backs favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brice Matthews homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Taylor Trammell scores. Mauricio Dubón scores. (inning 2) — -34% Astros
7Brice Matthews homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Chas McCormick scores.6–3
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Chas McCormick. Corbin Carroll scores.4–3
3Eugenio Suárez homers (36) on a fly ball to left field.4–2
3Christian Walker doubles (13) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Victor Caratini scores.4–1
2Brice Matthews homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Taylor Trammell scores. Mauricio Dubón scores.3–1
1Corbin Carroll singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Ketel Marte scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








