Angels at Mets
Last play · Mike Trout pops out softly to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
LAA 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 3 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Mets favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Alvarez homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Brett Baty scores. (inning 5) — +29% Mets
5Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to center fielder Jo Adell. Ronny Mauricio scores.2–3
5Francisco Alvarez homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Brett Baty scores.2–2
5Nolan Schanuel doubles (19) on a ground ball to second baseman Brett Baty. Luis Rengifo scores. Zach Neto to 3rd.2–0
2Jorge Soler homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








