Cardinals at Rockies
Last play · Yanquiel Fernández strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies0%
STL 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 3 – 2 COL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Rockies favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willson Contreras homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — -16% Cardinals
7Jordan Walker singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd. Masyn Winn to 2nd.6–2
6Brendan Donovan out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Jordan Walker scores. Pedro Pagés to 3rd. Victor Scott II to 2nd.5–2
6Pedro Pagés singles on a line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Nolan Arenado scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd.4–2
5Willson Contreras singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Brendan Donovan scores.3–2
4Masyn Winn doubles (20) on a ground ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Nolan Arenado scores.2–2
4Willson Contreras homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
3Hunter Goodman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Mickey Moniak scores.0–2
3Mickey Moniak singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Adael Amador scores. Mickey Moniak to 2nd. Fielding error by center fielder Victor Scott II.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








