Twins at Dodgers
Last play · Carlos Correa flies out to center fielder James Outman.
Win probability
Dodgers100%
MIN 0%LAD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 3 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Dodgers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shohei Ohtani homers (35) on a fly ball to center field. Mookie Betts scores. (inning 1) — +22% Dodgers
9Kody Clemens out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder James Outman. Byron Buxton scores.2–5
7Andy Pages homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5
6Will Smith homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.1–4
4Will Smith homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
1Shohei Ohtani homers (35) on a fly ball to center field. Mookie Betts scores.1–2
1Byron Buxton homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








