Royals at Cubs
Last play · Nick Loftin strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
KC 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Cubs favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Shaw singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Jonathan India. Dansby Swanson scores. Justin Turner to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Cubs
7Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.0–6
7Carson Kelly out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Nico Hoerner scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd.0–5
7Seiya Suzuki singles on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Matt Shaw scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.0–4
5Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (25) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Carson Kelly scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Jac Caglianone to third baseman Nick Loftin.0–3
2Nico Hoerner reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Maikel Garcia to third baseman Nick Loftin. Justin Turner scores. Matt Shaw out at 3rd.0–2
2Matt Shaw singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Jonathan India. Dansby Swanson scores. Justin Turner to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








