Red Sox at Phillies
Last play · Romy Gonzalez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
BOS 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Phillies favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — +10% Phillies
4Rob Refsnyder homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–4
2Kyle Schwarber homers (33) on a fly ball to center field.0–4
2Max Kepler homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3
1Umpire reviewed (rules check), call on the field was upheld: Brandon Marsh reaches on catcher interference by Carlos Narváez. Nick Castellanos to 3rd. Brandon Marsh to 1st.0–2
1Nick Castellanos singles on a fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








