Tigers at Pirates
Last play · Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
DET 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 5 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Pirates favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz doubles (11) on a line drive to center fielder Parker Meadows. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Henry Davis scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd. (inning 2) — +20% Pirates
8Jahmai Jones homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Spencer Torkelson scores.5–8
6Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Tommy Pham scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.3–8
6Tommy Pham doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Bryan Reynolds scores.3–7
6Bryan Reynolds singles on a line drive to center fielder Parker Meadows. Spencer Horwitz scores. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.3–6
5Jake Rogers homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Parker Meadows scores. Javier Báez scores.3–5
4Tommy Pham singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Bryan Reynolds scores.0–5
4Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Spencer Horwitz scores. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.0–4
3Ke'Bryan Hayes reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Zach McKinstry. Oneil Cruz scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








