Giants at Braves
Last play · Drake Baldwin grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Dominic Smith.
Win probability
Braves0%
SF 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 3 – 0 ATL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Braves favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Willy Adames scores. (inning 5) — -20% Giants
7Sean Murphy grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Dominic Smith. Matt Olson scores.9–3
7Drake Baldwin hits a ground-rule double (9) on a line drive down the left-field line. Eli White scores. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.9–2
7Luis Matos singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Dominic Smith scores.9–0
7Patrick Bailey grounds out, pitcher Aaron Bummer to first baseman Matt Olson. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Dominic Smith to 2nd.8–0
7Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Matt Chapman scores. Mike Yastrzemski to 3rd.7–0
6Rafael Devers homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Luis Matos scores. Heliot Ramos scores.6–0
5Matt Chapman homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Willy Adames scores.3–0
5Rafael Devers homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








