Astros at D-backs
Last play · Jose Herrera grounds into a double play, second baseman Brice Matthews to shortstop Zack Short to first baseman Christian Walker. Geraldo Perdomo out at 2nd. Jose Herrera out at 1st.
Win probability
D-backs0%
HOU 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 1 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
D-backs favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brice Matthews homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Taylor Trammell scores. (inning 8) — -52% Astros
9Brice Matthews strikes out swinging.3–1
8Brice Matthews homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Taylor Trammell scores.2–1
5Blaze Alexander grounds out, second baseman Brice Matthews to first baseman Christian Walker. Randal Grichuk scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








