Twins at Dodgers
Last play · Will Smith strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
MIN 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 3 – 3 LAD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Dodgers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field. Will Smith scores. Freddie Freeman scores. (inning 4) — +37% Dodgers
9Shohei Ohtani homers (36) on a fly ball to left center field. James Outman scores.10–7
9Ty France doubles (18) on a fly ball to right fielder Andy Pages. Carlos Correa scores.10–5
7Royce Lewis reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Edgardo Henriquez. Carlos Correa scores. Ty France scores. Matt Wallner scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Edgardo Henriquez.9–5
6Hyeseong Kim singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Will Smith scores. Michael Conforto scores.6–5
6Christian Vázquez singles on a line drive to left fielder Michael Conforto. Matt Wallner scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.6–3
6Harrison Bader grounds out, third baseman Miguel Rojas to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Ty France scores. Matt Wallner to 3rd. Royce Lewis to 2nd.5–3
6Royce Lewis walks. Carlos Correa scores. Ty France to 3rd. Matt Wallner to 2nd.4–3
4Andy Pages homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field. Will Smith scores. Freddie Freeman scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








