Red Sox at Phillies
Last play · Max Kepler called out on strikes.
Win probability
Phillies0%
BOS 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 6 – 5 PHI
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Phillies favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Romy Gonzalez hits a grand slam (6) to left center field. Marcelo Mayer scores. Rob Refsnyder scores. Jarren Duran scores. (inning 5) — -50% Red Sox
11Johan Rojas singles on a line drive to left fielder Roman Anthony. Bryce Harper scores.9–8
11Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Carlos Narváez homers (9) on a line drive to left center field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.9–7
10Kyle Schwarber singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Bryson Stott scores.7–7
10Trevor Story doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Jarren Duran scores.7–6
8J.T. Realmuto homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.6–6
5Romy Gonzalez hits a grand slam (6) to left center field. Marcelo Mayer scores. Rob Refsnyder scores. Jarren Duran scores.6–5
5Jarren Duran walks. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Marcelo Mayer to 3rd. Rob Refsnyder to 2nd.2–5
5Rob Refsnyder walks. Masataka Yoshida scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








