Astros at D-backs
Last play · Ketel Marte called out on strikes.
Win probability
D-backs0%
HOU 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 1 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
D-backs favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Zack Short scores. Taylor Trammell to 3rd. (inning 9) — -33% Astros
9Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Zack Short scores. Taylor Trammell to 3rd.4–3
8Josh Naylor singles on a fly ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Ketel Marte scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd. Eugenio Suárez to 2nd.3–3
8Corbin Carroll doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd.3–2
8Mauricio Dubón singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Yainer Diaz scores.3–1
6Cooper Hummel lines out to center fielder Corbin Carroll.2–1
6Brice Matthews reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Christian Walker scores.1–1
1Ketel Marte homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








