Tigers at Pirates
Last play · Matt Vierling strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Pirates100%
DET 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 6 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Pirates favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz hits a grand slam (3) to center field. Oneil Cruz scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Joey Bart scores. (inning 2) — +25% Pirates
7Matt Vierling singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Spencer Torkelson scores.1–6
3Oneil Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Parker Meadows. Bryan Reynolds scores.0–6
2Spencer Horwitz hits a grand slam (3) to center field. Oneil Cruz scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Joey Bart scores.0–5
1Andrew McCutchen homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








