Yankees at Blue Jays
Last play · Jasson Domínguez lines out to center fielder Myles Straw.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
NYY 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 4 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (fan interference), call on the field was upheld: Aaron Judge homers (37) on a fly ball to right center field. Trent Grisham scores. (inning 6) — -31% Yankees
7Bo Bichette homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.4–8
6Will Wagner reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Ben Rice. Myles Straw scores.4–6
6Myles Straw doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Ernie Clement scores.4–5
6Umpire reviewed (fan interference), call on the field was upheld: Aaron Judge homers (37) on a fly ball to right center field. Trent Grisham scores.4–4
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Max Fried. Davis Schneider scores. George Springer scores. Throwing error by pitcher Max Fried.2–4
5Anthony Volpe homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
4Ernie Clement singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd. Addison Barger to 2nd.1–2
4Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. George Springer scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








