Reds at Nationals
Last play · Amed Rosario grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Connor Joe.
Win probability
Nationals0%
CIN 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 0 WSH
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Nationals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Fraley singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Elly De La Cruz scores. (inning 4) — -14% Reds
9Elly De La Cruz grounds into a double play, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain out at 2nd. Elly De La Cruz out at 1st.5–0
9Matt McLain singles on a bunt ground ball to third baseman Brady House. Santiago Espinal scores. TJ Friedl to 3rd. Throwing error by third baseman Brady House.4–0
8Jose Trevino out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Jake Fraley scores. Noelvi Marte to 3rd.3–0
8Noelvi Marte doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Austin Hays scores. Jake Fraley to 3rd.2–0
4Jake Fraley singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Elly De La Cruz scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








