Blue Jays at Tigers
Last play · Jake Rogers called out on strikes.
Win probability
Tigers0%
TOR 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 1 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Tigers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ernie Clement homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Addison Barger scores. (inning 6) — -38% Blue Jays
9Colt Keith singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Joey Loperfido. Matt Vierling scores.11–4
9Wenceel Pérez grounds out, second baseman Leo Jiménez to first baseman Will Wagner. Riley Greene scores. Matt Vierling to 2nd.11–3
9Spencer Torkelson homers (22) on a fly ball to left field.11–2
8Nathan Lukes homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Will Wagner scores.11–1
7Ernie Clement out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Riley Greene. Addison Barger scores.9–1
7Addison Barger triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Bo Bichette scores.8–1
7Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Nathan Lukes scores.6–1
6Joey Loperfido homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








