Rockies at Orioles
Last play · Jackson Holliday flies out to left fielder Jordan Beck.
Win probability
Orioles0%
COL 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 5 – 4 BAL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Orioles favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ezequiel Tovar homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 8) — -26% Rockies
8Ezequiel Tovar homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.6–5
7Jackson Holliday singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Alex Jackson scores.5–5
5Jordan Beck singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Hunter Goodman scores.5–4
5Hunter Goodman doubles (19) on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Mickey Moniak scores.4–4
4Thairo Estrada homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Ezequiel Tovar scores.3–4
3Mickey Moniak homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.1–4
2Alex Jackson homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.0–4
2Coby Mayo homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








