Phillies at Yankees
Last play · Trent Grisham lines out sharply to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Yankees0%
PHI 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 2 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Yankees favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.T. Realmuto homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Schwarber scores. Nick Castellanos scores. (inning 7) — -41% Phillies
9Trea Turner triples (3) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Bryson Stott scores.12–5
9Bryson Stott doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Max Kepler scores. Edmundo Sosa scores.11–5
9Edmundo Sosa singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Nick Castellanos scores. Max Kepler to 2nd.9–5
8Kyle Schwarber homers (36) on a line drive to right field. Trea Turner scores.8–5
7Aaron Judge out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Ben Rice scores.6–5
7Anthony Volpe homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.6–4
7J.T. Realmuto homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Schwarber scores. Nick Castellanos scores.6–3
7Nick Castellanos singles on a ground ball to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber to 3rd. Nick Castellanos to 2nd. Nick Castellanos advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








