Nationals at Twins
Last play · Josh Bell grounds out softly, third baseman Royce Lewis to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Twins100%
WSH 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 1 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+210 / -255
Twins favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Byron Buxton out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Matt Wallner scores. (inning 5) — +15% Twins
5Byron Buxton out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Matt Wallner scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








