Guardians at Royals
Last play · Jonathan India homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. John Rave scores. Luke Maile scores.
Win probability
Royals100%
CLE 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonathan India homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. John Rave scores. Luke Maile scores. (inning 10) — +51% Royals
10Jonathan India homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. John Rave scores. Luke Maile scores.3–5
10Kyle Manzardo singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyler Tolbert. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd. José Ramírez to 2nd.3–2
7Bo Naylor doubles (11) on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Daniel Schneemann scores. Brayan Rocchio out at home on the throw, center fielder Kyle Isbel to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to catcher Salvador Perez.2–2
5Bo Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder John Rave. Daniel Schneemann scores.1–2
4Maikel Garcia homers (9) on a line drive to left center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








