Braves at Rangers
Last play · Ronald Acuña Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers100%
ATL 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 4 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Rangers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonah Heim homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — +10% Rangers
9Matt Olson grounds into a force out, first baseman Josh Smith to shortstop Ezequiel Duran. Michael Harris II scores. Luke Williams to 3rd. Jurickson Profar out at 2nd. Matt Olson to 1st.3–8
9Jurickson Profar singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Sean Murphy scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd. Luke Williams to 2nd.2–8
8Rowdy Tellez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jonah Heim scores.1–8
8Evan Carter singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Wyatt Langford scores. Jonah Heim to 3rd. Josh Smith to 2nd.1–7
8Josh Smith hit by pitch. Josh Jung scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd. Jonah Heim to 2nd.1–6
8Jonah Heim walks. Adolis García scores. Josh Jung to 3rd. Wyatt Langford to 2nd.1–5
7Michael Harris II homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
5Sam Haggerty doubles (5) on a fly ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Michael Helman scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








