Mets at Giants
Last play · Patrick Bailey strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYM 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 6 – 1 SF
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Giants favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto grounds out, second baseman Casey Schmitt to first baseman Rafael Devers. Brandon Nimmo scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd. (inning 1) — -12% Mets
9Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Francisco Lindor scores.8–1
4Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Francisco Alvarez scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.6–1
4Tyrone Taylor grounds into a force out, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Casey Schmitt. Brett Baty scores. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd. Ronny Mauricio out at 2nd. Tyrone Taylor to 1st.4–1
3Francisco Lindor homers (20) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
1Willy Adames grounds out, third baseman Ronny Mauricio to first baseman Pete Alonso. Heliot Ramos scores.2–1
1Pete Alonso out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Francisco Lindor scores.2–0
1Juan Soto grounds out, second baseman Casey Schmitt to first baseman Rafael Devers. Brandon Nimmo scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








