D-backs at Pirates
Last play · Adrian Del Castillo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
AZ 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 0 – 2 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Pirates favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz homers (17) on a line drive to right center field. Tommy Pham scores. (inning 2) — +20% Pirates
2Oneil Cruz homers (17) on a line drive to right center field. Tommy Pham scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








