Rays at Reds
Last play · Josh Lowe lines out to left fielder Austin Hays.
Win probability
Reds100%
TB 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 0 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Reds favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Hays reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Taylor Walls. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain scores. (inning 6) — +34% Reds
8Matt McLain singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Santiago Espinal scores. TJ Friedl to 3rd.2–6
8TJ Friedl singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Mangum. Tyler Stephenson scores. Santiago Espinal to 2nd.2–5
7Elly De La Cruz singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Spencer Steer scores. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 3rd.2–4
7Josh Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. José Caballero scores. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd.2–2
6Austin Hays reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Taylor Walls. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain scores.1–2
6Yandy Díaz homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








