Mariners at Angels
Last play · LaMonte Wade Jr. grounds out, second baseman Jorge Polanco to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Angels0%
SEA 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 2 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
Angels favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jo Adell. Randy Arozarena scores. Josh Naylor scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd. (inning 6) — -24% Mariners
8Ben Williamson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jo Adell. Jorge Polanco scores.7–2
6J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to second baseman Luis Rengifo. Jorge Polanco scores. Dominic Canzone to 2nd.6–2
6Dominic Canzone singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jo Adell. Randy Arozarena scores. Josh Naylor scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd.5–2
6Cal Raleigh homers (40) on a fly ball to right field.3–2
5Zach Neto out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Luis Rengifo to 3rd.2–2
4Randy Arozarena homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
3Julio Rodríguez homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
2Taylor Ward homers (24) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








