Cubs at White Sox
Last play · Miguel Vargas grounds into a double play, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Chase Meidroth out at 2nd. Miguel Vargas out at 1st.
Win probability
White Sox0%
CHC 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 0 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
White Sox favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Shaw homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 7) — -22% Cubs
9Mike Tauchman homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.6–1
8Matt Shaw walks. Ian Happ scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.6–0
8Dansby Swanson singles on a line drive to left fielder Michael A. Taylor. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Carson Kelly scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.5–0
7Matt Shaw homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Nico Hoerner scores.3–0
7Ian Happ homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








