Guardians at Royals
Last play · MJ Melendez grounds out, second baseman Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Royals0%
CLE 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 6 – 4 KC
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Freddy Fermin homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Maikel Garcia scores. (inning 2) — +21% Royals
5Bobby Witt Jr. homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Isbel scores.6–4
4Steven Kwan homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Brayan Rocchio scores.6–2
3Daniel Schneemann out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder John Rave. José Ramírez scores. Gabriel Arias to 3rd.4–2
2Freddy Fermin homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Maikel Garcia scores.3–2
1Johnathan Rodríguez doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder John Rave. Angel Martínez scores. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd.3–0
1Carlos Santana walks. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd. José Ramírez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








