Phillies at Yankees
Last play · Otto Kemp strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Yankees100%
PHI 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Yankees favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan McMahon doubles (16) on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jasson Domínguez to 3rd. (inning 2) — +26% Yankees
5Otto Kemp homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–4
2Trent Grisham singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Ryan McMahon scores.2–4
2Austin Wells out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Schwarber. Jasson Domínguez scores.2–3
2Ryan McMahon doubles (16) on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Giancarlo Stanton scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jasson Domínguez to 3rd.2–2
2Otto Kemp homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
2Nick Castellanos homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








