Rockies at Orioles
Last play · Orlando Arcia strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles100%
COL 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 4 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Orioles favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dylan Carlson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Cedric Mullins scores. Coby Mayo scores. Dylan Carlson to 2nd. (inning 2) — +25% Orioles
8Tyler O'Neill walks.1–5
3Tyler O'Neill homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Gunnar Henderson scores.1–4
2Dylan Carlson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Cedric Mullins scores. Coby Mayo scores. Dylan Carlson to 2nd.1–2
2Warming Bernabel homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








